I was reading a report the other day
produced by the Halifax, about the UK property market and why more
and more of the younger generation seem to be renting rather than
buying. I find it fascinating that over the last ten years, the
British obsession of buying a house almost as soon as you left
school, and the fact that if you rented you were seen as a second
class citizen, has turned on its head to a point where the hopes and
dreams to own a nice home will be replaced by the ambition simply to
live in one.
In the latter half of the 20th Century,
you left school, got a job, bought a small house and kept buying and
selling property, constantly upgrading until eventually they carried
you out in a box. However, the perceived shame and stigma of renting
is no longer the case, as it seems that the British are now beginning
to accept a lifetime of renting. This is a very important
consideration for both Gloucester homeowners and Gloucester landlords
as it will transform the way the Gloucester property ladder looks in
the future and I might ask whether or not it will exist at all for
some people? The make up of households is one important factor,
especially in the Gloucester property market. The normal
stereotypical married couple, two kids and dog of the 1970’s and
80’s has changed. More and more we have the need for larger houses
where two families come together after divorces (+ kids) and need a
property to house everyone through to an increase in the number of
one person households.
Looking at the data for Gloucester, of
the 8,012 private rental properties in the Gloucester City Council
area, 31.95% of those rented properties are one person households
(2,560 properties). However, when we compare the number of one person
Gloucester households who have bought their own property with a
mortgage (ie therefore they are still in work), of the 33,858 owner
occupied households in the area, only 3,324 of those properties are a
one person household (ie 9.82%). Compared to a decade ago, this
explosion in demand for decent high quality rental properties that
one person households require has not been met with an increase in
supply of such properties. More and more I believe Gloucester
landlords need to consider this change in the make up of Gloucester
households, as I believe this could be an opportunity. As an aside,
another interesting stat that raised an eyebrow was that 16.1% of
those 8,012 rental properties (1,289 properties) are lone parents
households as well. Again, another possible opportunity that
Gloucester landlords might want to consider in their future
investment plans.
It is true that the Governments
introduction in 2013 of the Help to Buy scheme, where first time
buyers only needed a 5% deposit, changed the perception of peoples’
ability to buy without having to save ten’s of thousands of pounds
for a deposit. However, it might surprise you, 95% mortgages were
re-introduced within six months of the Credit Crunch in late 2009, so
again it comes down to people’s own perception. Many youngsters
think they won’t get a mortgage, so don’t even bother trying.
Coming back to the deposit, it’s
still a fact that once you start renting it becomes that much harder
to save for a deposit, regardless of the size. Interestingly, 7 out
of 8 renters polled by the Halifax (86% to be exact) refuse to
sacrifice the quality of accommodation they currently live in to
reduce the amount of rent they pay in order to save for a deposit.
This is the crux and the real reason why people aren’t buying but
renting... and why demand for renting will continue to grow in the
future (ie good news for landlords).
Gloucester tenants can upgrade
the quality and size of the property they live in for a minimal rent
increase. The average rent of a two bed property in Gloucester is
£569pm, a three bed £184pm more at £753pm, If you had to make that jump when buying, the
monthly mortgage payments would be stratospherically more than that!
Without any social pressure and better quality rental properties
compared to a decade ago, we
will become a nation of renters within the next
generation, as the UK is becoming more like Europe, where renting is
‘the norm’.
Who is going to supply all these properties to rent?
Landlords! Whether you are an existing landlord looking to grow your
portfolio or looking to become a ‘first time landlord’, my
thoughts are take advice from as many people as possible. However, as
the majority of landlords buy their buy to let properties in the same
town they live, you will need specific advice about Gloucester. I can help you with this and can be contacted on 01452 387334 or neil.west@belvoir.co.uk.
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