The ‘Liquorice Allsorts’ Gloucester Property Market

Despite the UK economy heading in the right direction with record low mortgage rates and unemployment  figures dropping, the rate of property prices rising in Gloucester has tempered since the start of the year. This slow but sure downward trend in the rate of growth has been in evidence since mid-2014.  Property value increases continue to outpace the growth in salaries, however the gap is closing, helped by a lift in salaries over the last 6 months.  

Property values in the South West region as a whole are 3.6% higher than a year ago. Compare this to the neighbouring regions of the South East at 9.1% higher and the West Midlands at 3.5%, the majority of the country continue to see annual house price gains - the exception being Wales which recorded a slight  decline of -0.6%.

Even with the tempering in house price inflation, it does not necessarily change my outlook that property prices are likely to be firmer over the second half of 2015 amid heightening activity in the Gloucester property market.  As stated in a previous article, there is a current shortage of properties on the market, restricting supply, which in turn will provide stability and support to Gloucester property prices. 

Property investment is a long term business.  Buying the right sort of property is vital. I have recently been speaking with a number of Gloucester landlords about the importance of a balanced portfolio, when buying and renting out property. The balance between buying properties that offer good monthly returns (high yields) but quite often offer poor capital growth (i.e. they don't increase in value that much over the years compared with the average) verses properties that do go up in value quicker but often offer a lower yield.  So, what type of properties have performed best over the last few years in Gloucester, especially in terms of their capital growth?

When comparing  what the average price of detached, semi detached, terraced and flats were selling for back at the start of the Millennium to the present.  The results are quite remarkably different, almost like a bag of Liquorice Allsorts, as the different types of property have performed poles apart over the last 15 years:

·     Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £125,334 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Gloucester for £292,6162, a rise of 133%

·     Semi -Detached Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £77,087 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Gloucester for £174,214 a rise of 126%

·    Terraced Houses in 2000 were selling on average for £52,471 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Gloucester for £128,819 a rise of 146%

·       Flats and Apartments in 2000 were selling on average for £43,585 and so far in 2015, they have been selling on average in Gloucester for £102,056 a rise of 134%

Moving forward, what should new and existing buy to let landlords do with this information?  Well, the questions I seem to be asked on an almost daily basis by landlords are:

· “Should I sell my property in Gloucester?”

· “Is the time right to buy another buy to let property in Gloucester and if not Gloucester, where?”

· “Are there any property bargains out there in Gloucester to be had?”

If you would like the answers to these questions, give me a call on 01452 387334 or email me on neil.west@belvoir.co.uk